The situation is exacerbated by fears of production losses due to the weather. In the USA in particular, the dry conditions in the Mid-West and on the southern plains are causing a critical situation with regard to American winter wheat, according to the analysts. The harvest is expected to decline by 21 points compared with last year.
Ukraine cannot currently export grain, nor is work in the fields possible to any great extent. The wheat harvest is expected to fall this year to 18.2 mio tonnes from 33 mio tonnes last year. At the same time, international demand is reported to remain high, with top importers Egypt and Algeria continuing to buy large quantities of wheat in Europe.